Value bet: Internacional to win @ 3.15 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSantos to win ✗40% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Santos vs Internacional preview and prediction
The match
Internacional travel to Estádio Urbano Caldeira in the Serie A on Thursday 19 March (01:30 WAT) to face Santos. Santos are 9th with 47 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Internacional sit 16th on 38 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Santos's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Corinthians 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.6 per game.
Internacional's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Bahia 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Santos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Santos and 1.3 for Internacional. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santos 40%, draw 25%, Internacional 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Internacional to win at 3.15 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Santos 1–1 Internacional. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santos40%fair 2.48 · @2.34
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.10
Internacional34%fair 2.90 · @3.15
2.65Expected goals
1.39Santos xG
1.26Internacional xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Santos 1.4 – 1.3 Internacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santos to win✗
40%
2.48
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santos / FT Santos✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.19
–
Form
Santos – last 5
DDWLW
15 Mar
vs Corinthians
1–1
D
11 Mar
@ Mirassol
2–2
D
26 Feb
vs Vasco DA Gama
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Novorizontino
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Velo Clube
7–0
W
2.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Internacional – last 5
LLDWL
15 Mar
vs Bahia
0–1
L
11 Mar
@ Atletico-MG
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ remo
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Ypiranga-RS
3–0
W
13 Feb
vs Palmeiras
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos and Internacional.
What is the prediction for Santos vs Internacional?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Santos vs Internacional?
On our numbers Santos have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Internacional 34%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs Internacional?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs Internacional?
Our predicted score is Santos 1–1 Internacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Santos vs Internacional?
Santos vs Internacional (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
