Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCorinthians to win ✗58% · @1.60
Double chanceCorinthians or draw ✗84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.17
Corinthians vs Coritiba preview and prediction
The match
Corinthians host Coritiba in the Serie A on Thursday 12 March, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Neo Química Arena. Corinthians are 17th with 37 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Coritiba sit 12th on 42 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Corinthians's last 4: LDWW Most recently they lost to Novorizontino 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Corinthians and 0.8 for Coritiba. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Corinthians 1–0 Coritiba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Corinthians58%fair 1.72 · @1.60
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.65
Coritiba16%fair 6.23 · @5.90
2.43Expected goals
1.58Corinthians xG
0.85Coritiba xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Corinthians 1.6 – 0.8 Coritiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Corinthians
Coritiba
Attack vs Serie A average
-16%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+19%
Our expected goals here
1.51
0.95
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Corinthians to win✗
58%
1.72
1.60
Double chance
Corinthians or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Corinthians / FT Corinthians✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.17
–
Form
Corinthians – last 4
LDWW
1 Mar
@ Novorizontino
0–1
L
26 Feb
@ Cruzeiro
1–1
D
19 Feb
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ São Bernardo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Coritiba – last 1
L
25 Feb
vs Sao Paulo
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Corinthians and Coritiba.
What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Coritiba?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Corinthians vs Coritiba?
On our numbers Corinthians have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Coritiba 16%.
How many goals will there be in Corinthians vs Coritiba?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Corinthians vs Coritiba?
Our predicted score is Corinthians 1–0 Coritiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Corinthians vs Coritiba?
Corinthians vs Coritiba (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Neo Química Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
