The Serie A sees Palmeiras take on Fluminense on Thursday 26 February, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Arena Barueri. Palmeiras are 2nd with 73 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Fluminense sit 4th on 57 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Palmeiras's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Capivariano 4–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Palmeiras and 0.9 for Fluminense. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 56%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Palmeiras 2–0 Fluminense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Palmeiras63%fair 1.59 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.65
Fluminense16%fair 6.40 · @5.10
2.93Expected goals
2.06Palmeiras xG
0.87Fluminense xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 2.1 – 0.9 Fluminense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Attack vs Serie A average
+43%
+23%
Goals conceded vs average
-43%
-8%
Our expected goals here
2.00
0.80
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras to win✓
63%
1.59
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Palmeiras or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.33
Half-time result
Palmeiras ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.85
–
Form
Palmeiras – last 3
WDW
22 Feb
vs Capivariano
4–0
W
16 Feb
vs Guarani Campinas
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Internacional
3–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fluminense – last 2
WW
22 Feb
@ Vasco DA Gama
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Bangu
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palmeiras and Fluminense.
What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs Fluminense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Palmeiras vs Fluminense?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fluminense 16%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Fluminense?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Fluminense?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 2–0 Fluminense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs Fluminense?
Palmeiras vs Fluminense (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Barueri.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
