Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Cruzeiro to win @ 1.83 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruzeiro to win ✗62% · @1.83
Double chanceCruzeiro or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.69
Cruzeiro vs Corinthians preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Cruzeiro take on Corinthians on Thursday 26 February, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Governador Magalhães Pinto. Cruzeiro are 3rd with 60 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Corinthians sit 17th on 37 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Cruzeiro and 0.9 for Corinthians. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Cruzeiro to win at 1.83 – 62% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cruzeiro or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Cruzeiro 1–0 Corinthians. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruzeiro62%fair 1.62 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.35
Corinthians16%fair 6.36 · @4.40
2.83Expected goals
1.95Cruzeiro xG
0.88Corinthians xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro 2.0 – 0.9 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Attack vs Serie A average
+36%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
+3%
Our expected goals here
2.12
0.95
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruzeiro to win✗
62%
1.62
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Cruzeiro or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Half-time result
Cruzeiro ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.69
–
Form
Cruzeiro – last 1
W
14 Feb
@ Uniao Trabalhadores
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Corinthians – last 2
WW
19 Feb
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ São Bernardo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruzeiro and Corinthians.
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro vs Corinthians?
Our pick is Cruzeiro or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Corinthians 16%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Corinthians?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Corinthians?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 1–0 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro vs Corinthians?
Cruzeiro vs Corinthians (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Governador Magalhães Pinto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
