Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 6.90
Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Velez Sarsfield take on Lanus on Saturday 21 March, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT). Velez Sarsfield are 6th with 56 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Lanus sit 9th on 50 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Velez Sarsfield's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Tigre 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lanus's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Newells Old Boys 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Velez Sarsfield and 0.9 for Lanus. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 36%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Velez Sarsfield 1–1 Lanus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Velez Sarsfield49%fair 2.05 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.96
Lanus27%fair 3.64 · @3.75
2.21Expected goals
1.32Velez Sarsfield xG
0.89Lanus xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Velez Sarsfield 1.3 – 0.9 Lanus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Velez Sarsfield to win
49%
2.05
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.99
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
62%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Velez Sarsfield / FT Velez Sarsfield
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
6.90
–
Form
Velez Sarsfield – last 5
DWDWD
10 Mar
@ Tigre
1–1
D
2 Mar
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs River Plate
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Defensa Y Justicia
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lanus – last 6
WWLDLW
17 Mar
vs Newells Old Boys
5–0
W
14 Mar
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–0
W
5 Mar
vs Boca Juniors
0–3
L
2 Mar
@ Defensa Y Justicia
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Flamengo
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Flamengo
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Velez Sarsfield and Lanus.
What is the prediction for Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus?
On our numbers Velez Sarsfield have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lanus 27%.
How many goals will there be in Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus?
Our predicted score is Velez Sarsfield 1–1 Lanus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus?
Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico Tucuman1
Gimnasia L.P.0
Banfield1
Tigre0