Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P. prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Gimnasia L.P. to win @ 3.75 – our chance 37% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +39%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Tucuman to win ✓39% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.37
Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P. preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Tucuman host Gimnasia L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 21 March, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro. Atletico Tucuman are 26th with 32 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Gimnasia L.P. sit 5th on 57 points (in the top half). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico Tucuman's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Barracas Central 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Gimnasia L.P.'s last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Independ. Rivadavia 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Gimnasia L.P. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Atletico Tucuman and 1.2 for Gimnasia L.P.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Gimnasia L.P. to win at 3.75 – 37% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Gimnasia L.P.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Tucuman39%fair 2.57 · @2.02
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Gimnasia L.P.37%fair 2.70 · @3.75
2.46Expected goals
1.25Atletico Tucuman xG
1.21Gimnasia L.P. xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Atletico Tucuman 1.3 – 1.2 Gimnasia L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Tucuman to win✓
39%
2.57
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Tucuman / FT Atletico Tucuman✓
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.37
–
Form
Atletico Tucuman – last 6
LDLLLW
16 Mar
@ Barracas Central
1–2
L
12 Mar
vs Aldosivi
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Racing Club
0–3
L
25 Feb
@ Belgrano Cordoba
1–3
L
21 Feb
@ Instituto Cordoba
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
4–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Gimnasia L.P. – last 6
LWDLWD
15 Mar
vs Independ. Rivadavia
2–3
L
11 Mar
@ Banfield
2–1
W
2 Mar
@ Tigre
2–2
D
25 Feb
vs Rosario Central
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Gimnasia M.
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Tucuman and Gimnasia L.P..
What is the prediction for Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P.?
On our numbers Atletico Tucuman have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimnasia L.P. 37%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P.?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Our predicted score is Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Gimnasia L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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