Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M. prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Gimnasia M. to win @ 3.45 – our chance 39% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +35%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimnasia M. to win39% · @3.45
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 13.22
Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M. preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Newells Old Boys take on Gimnasia M. on Saturday 21 March, kicking off at 21:45 (WAT) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa. Newells Old Boys are 22nd with 38 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Gimnasia M. sit 17th on 41 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Newells Old Boys's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Lanus 0–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Gimnasia M.'s last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Estudiantes L.P. 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Newells Old Boys and 1.1 for Gimnasia M.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newells Old Boys 34%, draw 27%, Gimnasia M. 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Gimnasia M. to win at 3.45 – 39% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Newells Old Boys 1–1 Gimnasia M.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newells Old Boys34%fair 2.94 · @2.34
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @2.84
Gimnasia M.39%fair 2.56 · @3.45
2.15Expected goals
1.03Newells Old Boys xG
1.13Gimnasia M. xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Newells Old Boys 1.0 – 1.1 Gimnasia M. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia M. to win
39%
2.56
3.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.92
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
84%
1.20
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia M. / FT Gimnasia M.
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
13.22
–
Form
Newells Old Boys – last 5
LDLLD
17 Mar
@ Lanus
0–5
L
11 Mar
vs Platense
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Banfield
0–3
L
16 Feb
@ Deportivo Riestra
1–1
D
0.4Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Gimnasia M. – last 5
LDDLL
18 Mar
vs Estudiantes L.P.
1–2
L
12 Mar
@ Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Independiente
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Gimnasia L.P.
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Talleres Cordoba
1–2
L
0.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newells Old Boys and Gimnasia M..
What is the prediction for Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M.?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M.?
On our numbers Newells Old Boys have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gimnasia M. 39%.
How many goals will there be in Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M.?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M.?
Our predicted score is Newells Old Boys 1–1 Gimnasia M., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M.?
Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 21:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico Tucuman1
Gimnasia L.P.0
Banfield1
Tigre0