Defensa Y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Santa Fe to win39% · @2.72
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.83
Defensa Y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe preview and prediction
The match
Union Santa Fe travel to Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 21 March (21:45 WAT) to face Defensa Y Justicia. Defensa Y Justicia are 14th with 47 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Union Santa Fe sit 16th on 42 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Defensa Y Justicia's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat San Lorenzo 5–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Union Santa Fe's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Boca Juniors 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Union Santa Fe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Defensa Y Justicia and 1.2 for Union Santa Fe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Defensa Y Justicia 35%, draw 26%, Union Santa Fe 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Union Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Defensa Y Justicia35%fair 2.88 · @2.78
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.92
Union Santa Fe39%fair 2.54 · @2.72
2.25Expected goals
1.08Defensa Y Justicia xG
1.17Union Santa Fe xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Defensa Y Justicia 1.1 – 1.2 Union Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Santa Fe to win
39%
2.54
2.72 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.60
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.23
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Santa Fe / FT Union Santa Fe
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.83
–
Form
Defensa Y Justicia – last 6
WDDDDD
16 Mar
@ San Lorenzo
5–2
W
12 Mar
vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Lanus
1–1
D
24 Feb
@ Platense
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Belgrano Cordoba
1–1
D
14 Feb
vs Velez Sarsfield
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Union Santa Fe – last 6
DDWWWD
16 Mar
vs Boca Juniors
1–1
D
10 Mar
@ Independiente
4–4
D
1 Mar
@ Instituto Cordoba
2–1
W
26 Feb
@ Sarmiento Junin
3–1
W
23 Feb
vs Aldosivi
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs San Lorenzo
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensa Y Justicia and Union Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Defensa Y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Defensa Y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe?
On our numbers Defensa Y Justicia have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Union Santa Fe 39%.
How many goals will there be in Defensa Y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensa Y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Union Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Defensa Y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe?
Defensa Y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 21:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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