Sarmiento Junin vs Racing Club prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRacing Club to win ✗46% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.99
Sarmiento Junin vs Racing Club preview and prediction
The match
Sarmiento Junin host Racing Club in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Wednesday 11 March, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Eva Perón. Sarmiento Junin are 19th with 40 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Racing Club sit 23rd on 36 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sarmiento Junin's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Racing Club's last 3: WDD Most recently they beat Atletico Tucuman 3–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Racing Club arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Sarmiento Junin and 1.2 for Racing Club. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sarmiento Junin 31%, draw 24%, Racing Club 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Sarmiento Junin 0–1 Racing Club. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarmiento Junin31%fair 3.26 · @3.50
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.98
Racing Club46%fair 2.19 · @2.24
2.14Expected goals
0.92Sarmiento Junin xG
1.22Racing Club xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Junin 0.9 – 1.2 Racing Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Club to win✗
46%
2.19
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Club / FT Racing Club✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.99
–
Form
Sarmiento Junin – last 4
WLLL
3 Mar
vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Union Santa Fe
1–3
L
20 Feb
@ Estudiantes L.P.
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Huracan
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Racing Club – last 3
WDD
4 Mar
@ Atletico Tucuman
3–0
W
26 Feb
vs Independ. Rivadavia
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Boca Juniors
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento Junin and Racing Club.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Junin vs Racing Club?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs Racing Club?
On our numbers Sarmiento Junin have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Racing Club 46%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Junin vs Racing Club?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Junin vs Racing Club?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Junin 0–1 Racing Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Junin vs Racing Club?
Sarmiento Junin vs Racing Club (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Eva Perón.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Newells Old Boys1
Platense1
Boca Juniors1
San Lorenzo1