Value bet: Rosario Central to win @ 3.85 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArgentinos JRS to win ✗43% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.27
Argentinos JRS vs Rosario Central preview and prediction
The match
Argentinos JRS host Rosario Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Wednesday 11 March, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Diego Armando Maradona. Argentinos JRS are 3rd with 60 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Rosario Central sit 2nd on 62 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Argentinos JRS's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Barracas Central 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rosario Central's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Gimnasia L.P. 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Argentinos JRS and 0.8 for Rosario Central. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Argentinos JRS 43%, draw 24%, Rosario Central 33%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Rosario Central to win at 3.85 – 33% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Argentinos JRS 1–0 Rosario Central. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Argentinos JRS43%fair 2.30 · @2.12
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.94
Rosario Central33%fair 3.05 · @3.85
1.87Expected goals
1.03Argentinos JRS xG
0.84Rosario Central xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Argentinos JRS 1.0 – 0.8 Rosario Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentinos JRS to win✗
43%
2.30
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.27
–
Form
Argentinos JRS – last 3
DWW
1 Mar
vs Barracas Central
1–1
D
19 Feb
@ Barcelona SC
1–0
W
13 Feb
vs River Plate
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Rosario Central – last 3
WLW
25 Feb
@ Gimnasia L.P.
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Talleres Cordoba
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Barracas Central
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentinos JRS and Rosario Central.
What is the prediction for Argentinos JRS vs Rosario Central?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Argentinos JRS vs Rosario Central?
On our numbers Argentinos JRS have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rosario Central 33%.
How many goals will there be in Argentinos JRS vs Rosario Central?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentinos JRS vs Rosario Central?
Our predicted score is Argentinos JRS 1–0 Rosario Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Argentinos JRS vs Rosario Central?
Argentinos JRS vs Rosario Central (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Diego Armando Maradona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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