Value bet: Platense to win @ 2.56 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPlatense to win ✗43% · @2.56
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.23
Newells Old Boys vs Platense preview and prediction
The match
Newells Old Boys host Platense in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Wednesday 11 March, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa. Newells Old Boys are 22nd with 38 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Platense sit 24th on 36 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Newells Old Boys's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Estudiantes L.P. 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Platense's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Deportivo Riestra 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Platense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.8 for Newells Old Boys and 1.0 for Platense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newells Old Boys 32%, draw 25%, Platense 43%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Platense to win at 2.56 – 43% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Newells Old Boys 0–1 Platense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newells Old Boys32%fair 3.15 · @3.15
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @2.78
Platense43%fair 2.32 · @2.56
1.87Expected goals
0.83Newells Old Boys xG
1.04Platense xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–015%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Newells Old Boys 0.8 – 1.0 Platense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Platense to win✗
43%
2.32
2.56 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.23
–
Form
Newells Old Boys – last 3
LLD
25 Feb
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Banfield
0–3
L
16 Feb
@ Deportivo Riestra
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Platense – last 3
DDD
2 Mar
@ Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Defensa Y Justicia
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Boca Juniors
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newells Old Boys and Platense.
What is the prediction for Newells Old Boys vs Platense?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Platense?
On our numbers Newells Old Boys have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Platense 43%.
How many goals will there be in Newells Old Boys vs Platense?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newells Old Boys vs Platense?
Our predicted score is Newells Old Boys 0–1 Platense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Newells Old Boys vs Platense?
Newells Old Boys vs Platense (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sarmiento Junin0
Racing Club0
Argentinos JRS0
Rosario Central0
Banfield1
Gimnasia L.P.2