Value bet: Muangthong United to win @ 2.65 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMuangthong United to win ✗44% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.44
Sukhothai FC vs Muangthong United preview and prediction
The match
Muangthong United travel to Thalay Luang Stadium in the Thai League 1 on Sunday 10 May (12:00 WAT) to face Sukhothai FC.
Form guide
Sukhothai FC's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Nakhon Ratchasima FC 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Muangthong United's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with BG Pathum United 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Muangthong United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Sukhothai FC and 1.4 for Muangthong United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sukhothai FC 34%, draw 22%, Muangthong United 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Muangthong United to win at 2.65 – 44% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sukhothai FC 1–1 Muangthong United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sukhothai FC34%fair 2.93 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.20
Muangthong United44%fair 2.27 · @2.65
2.58Expected goals
1.18Sukhothai FC xG
1.39Muangthong United xG
62%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sukhothai FC 1.2 – 1.4 Muangthong United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Muangthong United to win✗
44%
2.27
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Muangthong United / FT Muangthong United✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.44
–
Form
Sukhothai FC – last 6
LLLLLW
2 May
@ Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0–1
L
24 Apr
vs Ratchaburi
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Bangkok United
0–2
L
21 Mar
@ Chonburi FC
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Kanchanaburi
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Rayong FC
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Muangthong United – last 6
DDWLWL
1 May
vs BG Pathum United
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Chonburi FC
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Chiangrai United
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Buriram United
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Uthai Thani
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Prachuap
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sukhothai FC and Muangthong United.
What is the prediction for Sukhothai FC vs Muangthong United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sukhothai FC vs Muangthong United?
On our numbers Sukhothai FC have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Muangthong United 44%.
How many goals will there be in Sukhothai FC vs Muangthong United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sukhothai FC vs Muangthong United?
Our predicted score is Sukhothai FC 1–1 Muangthong United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sukhothai FC vs Muangthong United?
Sukhothai FC vs Muangthong United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Thalay Luang Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nakhon Ratchasima FC1
Kanchanaburi0