Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBuriram United to win ✗68% · @1.30
Double chanceBuriram United or draw ✓86% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.95
Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior preview and prediction
The match
The Thai League 1 sees Buriram United take on Lamphun Warrior on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Chang Arena. Buriram United are 5th with 16 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Lamphun Warrior sit 9th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Buriram United's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Johor Darul Takzim FC 3–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Lamphun Warrior's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Chiangrai United 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Buriram United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Buriram United and 1.0 for Lamphun Warrior. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Buriram United 68%, draw 18%, Lamphun Warrior 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Buriram United 2–1 Lamphun Warrior. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Buriram United68%fair 1.48 · @1.30
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @5.00
Lamphun Warrior14%fair 6.96 · @7.80
3.28Expected goals
2.31Buriram United xG
0.97Lamphun Warrior xG
58%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: Buriram United 2.3 – 1.0 Lamphun Warrior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buriram United to win✗
68%
1.48
1.30
Double chance
Buriram United or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.70
Half-time result
Buriram United ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buriram United / FT Buriram United✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.95
–
Form
Buriram United – last 6
WLWWLD
6 May
@ Johor Darul Takzim FC
3–1
W
29 Apr
@ Rayong FC
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ Kanchanaburi
3–1
W
12 Apr
vs Ayutthaya FC
2–0
W
8 Apr
vs BG Pathum United
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Ratchaburi
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lamphun Warrior – last 6
DDWLDD
3 May
vs Chiangrai United
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Rayong FC
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Ayutthaya FC
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Port FC
0–3
L
28 Feb
vs Bangkok United
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Bangkok United
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buriram United and Lamphun Warrior.
What is the prediction for Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior?
On our numbers Buriram United have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Lamphun Warrior 14%.
How many goals will there be in Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior?
Our predicted score is Buriram United 2–1 Lamphun Warrior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior?
Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Chang Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.