BG Pathum United vs Prachuap preview and prediction
The match
BG Pathum United host Prachuap in the Thai League 1 on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at BG Stadium. BG Pathum United are 7th with 12 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Prachuap sit 4th on 16 points (in the top four).
Form guide
BG Pathum United's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Muangthong United 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Prachuap's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Uthai Thani 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for BG Pathum United and 0.9 for Prachuap. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: BG Pathum United 60%, draw 19%, Prachuap 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: BG Pathum United 1–1 Prachuap. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BG Pathum United60%fair 1.67 · @1.77
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @3.60
Prachuap21%fair 4.82 · @3.85
2.67Expected goals
1.77BG Pathum United xG
0.90Prachuap xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: BG Pathum United 1.8 – 0.9 Prachuap expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BG Pathum United to win✓
60%
1.67
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.42
Half-time result
BG Pathum United ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BG Pathum United / FT BG Pathum United✓
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.18
–
Form
BG Pathum United – last 6
DDWWDW
1 May
@ Muangthong United
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Port FC
0–0
D
8 Apr
@ Buriram United
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ Kanchanaburi
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Ratchaburi
2–2
D
18 Mar
vs Mahasarakham United
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Prachuap – last 6
WWLDWW
3 May
vs Uthai Thani
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Ayutthaya FC
3–1
W
4 Apr
@ Port FC
0–3
L
22 Mar
vs Bangkok United
0–0
D
7 Mar
vs Muangthong United
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BG Pathum United and Prachuap.
What is the prediction for BG Pathum United vs Prachuap?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win BG Pathum United vs Prachuap?
On our numbers BG Pathum United have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Prachuap 21%.
How many goals will there be in BG Pathum United vs Prachuap?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BG Pathum United vs Prachuap?
Our predicted score is BG Pathum United 1–1 Prachuap, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is BG Pathum United vs Prachuap?
BG Pathum United vs Prachuap (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at BG Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nakhon Ratchasima FC1
Kanchanaburi0
Muangthong United0