Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Chicago Fire to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHouston Dynamo to win ✓39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.80
Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire preview and prediction
The match
Houston Dynamo host Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Shell Energy Stadium. Houston Dynamo are 5th with 51 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Chicago Fire sit 4th on 55 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Houston Dynamo and 1.5 for Chicago Fire. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Houston Dynamo 39%, draw 23%, Chicago Fire 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Chicago Fire to win at 2.88 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Houston Dynamo 1–1 Chicago Fire. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Houston Dynamo39%fair 2.55 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.45
Chicago Fire38%fair 2.63 · @2.88
2.94Expected goals
1.48Houston Dynamo xG
1.46Chicago Fire xG
65%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Houston Dynamo 1.5 – 1.5 Chicago Fire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Houston Dynamo to win✓
39%
2.55
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Houston Dynamo / FT Houston Dynamo✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.80
–
Form
Houston Dynamo
No recent results on record.
Chicago Fire
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Houston Dynamo and Chicago Fire.
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire?
On our numbers Houston Dynamo have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chicago Fire 38%.
How many goals will there be in Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire?
Our predicted score is Houston Dynamo 1–1 Chicago Fire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire?
Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Shell Energy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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