Value bet: Minnesota United FC to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAustin to win ✗40% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Austin vs Minnesota United FC preview and prediction
The match
Austin host Minnesota United FC in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Q2 Stadium. Austin are 14th with 34 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while Minnesota United FC sit 10th on 44 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Austin and 1.3 for Minnesota United FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Austin 40%, draw 24%, Minnesota United FC 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Minnesota United FC to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Austin 1–1 Minnesota United FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Austin40%fair 2.49 · @2.26
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.25
Minnesota United FC36%fair 2.79 · @3.10
2.65Expected goals
1.37Austin xG
1.28Minnesota United FC xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Austin 1.4 – 1.3 Minnesota United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Austin to win✗
40%
2.49
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Austin / FT Austin✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.31
–
Form
Austin
No recent results on record.
Minnesota United FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Austin and Minnesota United FC.
What is the prediction for Austin vs Minnesota United FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Austin vs Minnesota United FC?
On our numbers Austin have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Minnesota United FC 36%.
How many goals will there be in Austin vs Minnesota United FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Austin vs Minnesota United FC?
Our predicted score is Austin 1–1 Minnesota United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Austin vs Minnesota United FC?
Austin vs Minnesota United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Q2 Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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