Toronto FC travel to Toyota Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 22 February (02:30 WAT) to face FC Dallas. FC Dallas are 2nd with 58 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Toronto FC sit 12th on 39 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.7 for FC Dallas and 1.1 for Toronto FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Dallas 52%, draw 21%, Toronto FC 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FC Dallas 1–1 Toronto FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Dallas52%fair 1.93 · @2.02
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Toronto FC28%fair 3.63 · @3.50
2.84Expected goals
1.69FC Dallas xG
1.15Toronto FC xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: FC Dallas 1.7 – 1.1 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Dallas to win✓
52%
1.93
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Dallas / FT FC Dallas✓
30%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
FC Dallas
No recent results on record.
Toronto FC – last 1
W
14 Feb
vs Polessya
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Dallas and Toronto FC.
What is the prediction for FC Dallas vs Toronto FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Dallas vs Toronto FC?
On our numbers FC Dallas have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Toronto FC 28%.
How many goals will there be in FC Dallas vs Toronto FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Dallas vs Toronto FC?
Our predicted score is FC Dallas 1–1 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC Dallas vs Toronto FC?
FC Dallas vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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