Value bet: Philadelphia Union to win @ 2.25 – our chance 55% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✗55% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.44
DC United vs Philadelphia Union preview and prediction
The match
Philadelphia Union travel to Audi Field in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 22 February (01:30 WAT) to face DC United. DC United are 14th with 33 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while Philadelphia Union sit 6th on 50 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.9 for DC United and 1.6 for Philadelphia Union. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: DC United 23%, draw 22%, Philadelphia Union 55%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Philadelphia Union to win at 2.25 – 55% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: DC United 0–1 Philadelphia Union. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
DC United23%fair 4.42 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Philadelphia Union55%fair 1.80 · @2.25
2.47Expected goals
0.88DC United xG
1.58Philadelphia Union xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: DC United 0.9 – 1.6 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✗
55%
1.80
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✗
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.44
–
Form
DC United
No recent results on record.
Philadelphia Union – last 1
W
19 Feb
@ Defence Force
5–0
W
5.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between DC United and Philadelphia Union.
What is the prediction for DC United vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win DC United vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers DC United have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Philadelphia Union 55%.
How many goals will there be in DC United vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for DC United vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is DC United 0–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is DC United vs Philadelphia Union?
DC United vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Audi Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vancouver Whitecaps1
Real Salt Lake0
Austin2
Minnesota United FC2
FC Dallas3
Houston Dynamo2
Los Angeles FC3
Portland Timbers3