Nashville SC host Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Geodis Park. Nashville SC are 1st with 77 points from 34 games (top of the table), while Toronto FC sit 12th on 39 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 38 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nashville SC's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Chicago Fire 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Toronto FC's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to St. Louis City 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Nashville SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 September 2026, finished Toronto FC 2–1 Nashville SC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Nashville SC and 0.8 for Toronto FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nashville SC 71%, draw 19%, Toronto FC 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nashville SC to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nashville SC71%fair 1.42 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @4.60
Toronto FC10%fair 9.89 · @6.00
3.12Expected goals
2.32Nashville SC xG
0.80Toronto FC xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Nashville SC 2.3 – 0.8 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
Our pick is Nashville SC to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
On our numbers Nashville SC have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Toronto FC 10%.
How many goals will there be in Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
Our predicted score is Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Geodis Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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