Value bet: FC Cincinnati to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Cincinnati to win ✗45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.84
CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati preview and prediction
The match
CF Montreal host FC Cincinnati in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Saputo Stadium. CF Montreal are 15th with 26 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while FC Cincinnati sit 9th on 46 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CF Montreal's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Columbus Crew 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
FC Cincinnati's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Houston Dynamo 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.7 for CF Montreal and 1.9 for FC Cincinnati. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 69%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CF Montreal 35%, draw 19%, FC Cincinnati 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.40.
Value angle: FC Cincinnati to win at 2.40 – 45% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: CF Montreal 1–1 FC Cincinnati. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CF Montreal35%fair 2.85 · @2.70
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.80
FC Cincinnati45%fair 2.20 · @2.40
3.63Expected goals
1.69CF Montreal xG
1.94FC Cincinnati xG
69%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%
From our goals model: CF Montreal 1.7 – 1.9 FC Cincinnati expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Cincinnati to win✗
45%
2.20
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.73
Half-time result
FC Cincinnati ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Cincinnati / FT FC Cincinnati✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.84
–
Form
CF Montreal – last 6
LWLLLD
20 Sep
vs Columbus Crew
0–2
L
17 Sep
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Colorado Rapids
0–1
L
10 Sep
vs Charlotte
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Philadelphia Union
0–2
L
3 Sep
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Cincinnati – last 6
DDLLDW
20 Sep
@ Houston Dynamo
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Charlotte
3–3
D
10 Sep
@ Philadelphia Union
0–5
L
30 Aug
@ Nashville SC
0–4
L
23 Aug
vs Seattle Sounders
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs New York City FC
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CF Montreal and FC Cincinnati.
What is the prediction for CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?
On our numbers CF Montreal have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Cincinnati 45%.
How many goals will there be in CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?
Our predicted score is CF Montreal 1–1 FC Cincinnati, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?
CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Saputo Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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