Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: New York City FC to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlanta United FC to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Atlanta United FC take on New York City FC on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Atlanta Stadium. Atlanta United FC are 13th with 33 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while New York City FC sit 11th on 42 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Atlanta United FC's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Portland Timbers 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
New York City FC's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to New York Red Bulls 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Atlanta United FC and 1.4 for New York City FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlanta United FC 40%, draw 23%, New York City FC 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Value angle: New York City FC to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Atlanta United FC 1–1 New York City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlanta United FC40%fair 2.47 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.60
New York City FC37%fair 2.70 · @3.00
2.85Expected goals
1.46Atlanta United FC xG
1.39New York City FC xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Atlanta United FC 1.5 – 1.4 New York City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlanta United FC to win✗
40%
2.47
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlanta United FC / FT Atlanta United FC✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.65
–
Form
Atlanta United FC – last 6
WDLDLW
20 Sep
@ Portland Timbers
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ DC United
0–0
D
10 Sep
vs Orlando City SC
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Inter Miami
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Charlotte
0–2
L
24 Aug
vs Sporting Kansas City
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
New York City FC – last 6
LWLDDD
19 Sep
vs New York Red Bulls
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Real Salt Lake
2–0
W
10 Sep
vs New England Revolution
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Nashville SC
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Toronto FC
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ New England Revolution
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta United FC and New York City FC.
What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC?
On our numbers Atlanta United FC have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and New York City FC 37%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC?
Our predicted score is Atlanta United FC 1–1 New York City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC?
Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Atlanta Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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