Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 27 Sep 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✓68% · @1.45

Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✓87% · @1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC preview and prediction

The match

Orlando City SC travel to Talen Energy Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 27 September (00:30 WAT) to face Philadelphia Union. Philadelphia Union are 6th with 50 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Orlando City SC sit 8th on 46 points (in the top half).

Form guide

Philadelphia Union's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Sporting Kansas City 4–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Orlando City SC's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to New England Revolution 2–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.

Philadelphia Union arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 14 May 2026, finished Orlando City SC 4–3 Philadelphia Union.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.7 for Philadelphia Union and 1.2 for Orlando City SC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Philadelphia Union 68%, draw 20%, Orlando City SC 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.40.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Philadelphia Union 2–1 Orlando City SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Philadelphia Union68%fair 1.48 · @1.45

Draw20%fair 5.10 · @5.00

Orlando City SC13%fair 7.80 · @6.00

3.83Expected goals

2.66Philadelphia Union xG

1.16Orlando City SC xG

66%Both score

74%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–19%

3–18%

2–08%

3–07%

1–17%

1–06%

From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 2.7 – 1.2 Orlando City SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Philadelphia Union to win ✓	68%	1.48	1.45
Double chance	Philadelphia Union or draw ✓	87%	1.15	1.12
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	66%	1.52	1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	74%	1.36	1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	54%	1.84	1.67
Half-time result	Philadelphia Union ahead at half-time ✓	52%	1.91	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union ✓	47%	2.14	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.12	–

Form

Philadelphia Union – last 6

WWWWWD

20 Sep	@ Sporting Kansas City	4–3	W
14 Sep	@ San Diego	5–0	W
10 Sep	vs FC Cincinnati	5–0	W
6 Sep	vs CF Montreal	2–0	W
30 Aug	@ New York Red Bulls	3–1	W
23 Aug	@ Austin	1–1	D

3.3Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Orlando City SC – last 6

LLWWWD

20 Sep	@ New England Revolution	2–4	L
17 Sep	@ Columbus Crew	1–2	L
13 Sep	vs Toronto FC	3–0	W
10 Sep	@ Atlanta United FC	3–2	W
6 Sep	vs San Diego	1–0	W
30 Aug	@ Minnesota United FC	3–3	D

2.2Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Orlando City SC 13%.

How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 2–1 Orlando City SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Talen Energy Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes