New England Revolution vs New York City FC prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNew England Revolution to win ✗40% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63
New England Revolution vs New York City FC preview and prediction
The match
New England Revolution host New York City FC in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Gillette Stadium. New England Revolution are 3rd with 58 points from 34 games (in the top four), while New York City FC sit 11th on 42 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
New England Revolution's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat DC United 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
New York City FC's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to FC Cincinnati 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
New England Revolution arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for New England Revolution and 1.4 for New York City FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: New England Revolution 40%, draw 22%, New York City FC 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: New England Revolution 1–1 New York City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New England Revolution40%fair 2.48 · @2.32
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.60
New York City FC37%fair 2.69 · @2.78
2.95Expected goals
1.51New England Revolution xG
1.44New York City FC xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: New England Revolution 1.5 – 1.4 New York City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New England Revolution to win✗
40%
2.48
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New England Revolution / FT New England Revolution✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.63
–
Form
New England Revolution – last 6
WLLDWD
20 Aug
@ DC United
3–0
W
16 Aug
@ Toronto FC
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Houston Dynamo
0–2
L
2 Aug
@ CF Montreal
2–2
D
26 Jul
vs Atlanta United FC
4–1
W
23 Jul
vs Toronto FC
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
New York City FC – last 6
LLLLWD
20 Aug
@ FC Cincinnati
1–2
L
16 Aug
vs Philadelphia Union
2–3
L
14 Aug
vs Necaxa
1–2
L
10 Aug
@ Cruz Azul
1–2
L
7 Aug
vs Santos Laguna
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Toronto FC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New England Revolution and New York City FC.
What is the prediction for New England Revolution vs New York City FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win New England Revolution vs New York City FC?
On our numbers New England Revolution have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and New York City FC 37%.
How many goals will there be in New England Revolution vs New York City FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs New York City FC?
Our predicted score is New England Revolution 1–1 New York City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is New England Revolution vs New York City FC?
New England Revolution vs New York City FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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