Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Charlotte to win @ 1.84 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte to win ✓58% · @1.84
Double chanceCharlotte or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Charlotte vs DC United preview and prediction
The match
DC United travel to Bank of America Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 23 August (00:30 WAT) to face Charlotte. Charlotte are 5th with 54 points from 34 games (in the top half), while DC United sit 14th on 33 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Charlotte's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Toronto FC 3–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
DC United's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to New England Revolution 0–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Charlotte arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Charlotte and 1.0 for DC United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlotte 58%, draw 25%, DC United 17%.
Safer route: Charlotte or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Charlotte to win at 1.84 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Charlotte or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Charlotte 2–1 DC United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlotte58%fair 1.72 · @1.84
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.75
DC United17%fair 5.97 · @3.80
3.06Expected goals
2.03Charlotte xG
1.04DC United xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Charlotte 2.0 – 1.0 DC United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte to win✓
58%
1.72
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Charlotte or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.48
Half-time result
Charlotte ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte / FT Charlotte✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Charlotte – last 6
DWLWWL
20 Aug
@ Toronto FC
3–3
D
16 Aug
vs Columbus Crew
3–1
W
12 Aug
vs CF Pachuca
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Atlas
2–0
W
5 Aug
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3–0
W
2 Aug
@ Chicago Fire
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
DC United – last 6
LDDWDD
20 Aug
vs New England Revolution
0–3
L
16 Aug
@ CF Montreal
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Nashville SC
2–2
D
26 Jul
vs Toronto FC
2–1
W
23 Jul
@ Houston Dynamo
1–1
D
24 May
vs CF Montreal
4–4
D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlotte and DC United.
What is the prediction for Charlotte vs DC United?
Our pick is Charlotte or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Charlotte vs DC United?
On our numbers Charlotte have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and DC United 17%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte vs DC United?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs DC United?
Our predicted score is Charlotte 2–1 DC United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Charlotte vs DC United?
Charlotte vs DC United (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Bank of America Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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