Inter Miami host Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Nu Stadium. Inter Miami are 2nd with 60 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Toronto FC sit 12th on 39 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Inter Miami's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Philadelphia Union 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Toronto FC's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Charlotte 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.7 for Inter Miami and 1.1 for Toronto FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Inter Miami 70%, draw 17%, Toronto FC 14%.
Safer route: Inter Miami or draw (86%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Inter Miami to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Inter Miami 2–1 Toronto FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Inter Miami70%fair 1.43 · @1.41
Draw17%fair 6.06 · @5.40
Toronto FC14%fair 7.34 · @5.75
3.82Expected goals
2.68Inter Miami xG
1.14Toronto FC xG
64%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Inter Miami 2.7 – 1.1 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter Miami to win✗
70%
1.43
1.41
Double chance
Inter Miami or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.70
Half-time result
Inter Miami ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter Miami / FT Inter Miami✗
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.14
–
Form
Inter Miami – last 6
DLLLWD
20 Aug
@ Philadelphia Union
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Nashville SC
1–4
L
13 Aug
vs Leon
2–3
L
9 Aug
vs Monterrey
1–2
L
6 Aug
vs Atletico San Luis
4–2
W
2 Aug
vs Columbus Crew
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Toronto FC – last 6
DWDLDD
20 Aug
vs Charlotte
3–3
D
16 Aug
vs New England Revolution
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ New York City FC
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ DC United
1–2
L
23 Jul
@ New England Revolution
0–0
D
17 Jul
@ CF Montreal
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter Miami and Toronto FC.
What is the prediction for Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?
Our pick is Inter Miami to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?
On our numbers Inter Miami have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Toronto FC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?
Our predicted score is Inter Miami 2–1 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?
Inter Miami vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Nu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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