New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.38Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChicago Fire to win ✗45% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.69
New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire preview and prediction
The match
New York Red Bulls host Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Sports Illustrated Stadium. New York Red Bulls are 10th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Chicago Fire sit 4th on 55 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
New York Red Bulls's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Nashville SC 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Chicago Fire's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Orlando City SC 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Chicago Fire arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.6 for New York Red Bulls and 1.8 for Chicago Fire. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: New York Red Bulls 37%, draw 19%, Chicago Fire 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.33.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: New York Red Bulls 1–2 Chicago Fire. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New York Red Bulls37%fair 2.72 · @2.58
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @4.10
Chicago Fire45%fair 2.24 · @2.28
3.47Expected goals
1.64New York Red Bulls xG
1.83Chicago Fire xG
68%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–35%
From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 1.6 – 1.8 Chicago Fire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chicago Fire to win✗
45%
2.24
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chicago Fire / FT Chicago Fire✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.69
–
Form
New York Red Bulls – last 6
LLWLLW
20 Aug
vs Nashville SC
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Atlanta United FC
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Orlando City SC
3–2
W
25 Jul
vs Charlotte
0–2
L
23 Jul
@ Philadelphia Union
1–3
L
24 May
@ Sporting Kansas City
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chicago Fire – last 6
WWWWWW
20 Aug
@ Orlando City SC
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs Portland Timbers
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Cruz Azul
2–1
W
10 Aug
vs Santos Laguna
3–1
W
7 Aug
vs Necaxa
2–0
W
2 Aug
vs Charlotte
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New York Red Bulls and Chicago Fire.
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?
On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chicago Fire 45%.
How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?
Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 1–2 Chicago Fire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?
New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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