San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Minnesota United FC to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMinnesota United FC to win ✓41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58
San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC preview and prediction
The match
Minnesota United FC travel to PayPal Park in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 23 August (03:30 WAT) to face San Jose Earthquakes. San Jose Earthquakes are 4th with 52 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Minnesota United FC sit 10th on 44 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
San Jose Earthquakes's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Los Angeles Galaxy 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Minnesota United FC's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Atlanta United FC 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Minnesota United FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished San Jose Earthquakes 4–2 Minnesota United FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.5 for Minnesota United FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Jose Earthquakes 37%, draw 22%, Minnesota United FC 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Minnesota United FC to win at 2.75 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Minnesota United FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Jose Earthquakes37%fair 2.72 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.50
Minnesota United FC41%fair 2.45 · @2.75
2.90Expected goals
1.41San Jose Earthquakes xG
1.49Minnesota United FC xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: San Jose Earthquakes 1.4 – 1.5 Minnesota United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?
On our numbers San Jose Earthquakes have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Minnesota United FC 41%.
How many goals will there be in San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?
Our predicted score is San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Minnesota United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?
San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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