Austin vs Philadelphia Union prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Austin vs Philadelphia Union preview and prediction
The match
Austin host Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Q2 Stadium. Austin are 14th with 34 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while Philadelphia Union sit 6th on 50 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Austin's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Seattle Sounders 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Philadelphia Union's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Inter Miami 2–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.4 for Austin and 1.8 for Philadelphia Union. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Austin 31%, draw 21%, Philadelphia Union 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Austin 1–1 Philadelphia Union. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Austin31%fair 3.22 · @3.30
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.50
Philadelphia Union48%fair 2.06 · @2.00
3.28Expected goals
1.43Austin xG
1.85Philadelphia Union xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Austin 1.4 – 1.8 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✗
48%
2.06
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.87
–
Form
Austin – last 6
WLDWWL
20 Aug
@ Seattle Sounders
2–1
W
17 Aug
vs FC Dallas
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ Club America
1–1
D
10 Aug
vs Puebla
3–0
W
7 Aug
vs Club Tijuana
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Colorado Rapids
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union – last 6
DWLWLW
20 Aug
vs Inter Miami
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ New York City FC
3–2
W
14 Aug
vs Santos Laguna
0–2
L
10 Aug
vs Necaxa
3–1
W
7 Aug
@ Cruz Azul
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Atlanta United FC
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Austin and Philadelphia Union.
What is the prediction for Austin vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Austin vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers Austin have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Philadelphia Union 48%.
How many goals will there be in Austin vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Austin vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is Austin 1–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Austin vs Philadelphia Union?
Austin vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Q2 Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.