Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City prediction & analysis

Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City preview and prediction

The match

The Major League Soccer sees Sporting Kansas City take on St. Louis City on Thursday 20 August, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Children's Mercy Park. Sporting Kansas City are 15th with 26 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while St. Louis City sit 3rd on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Sporting Kansas City's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Colorado Rapids 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

St. Louis City's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat San Jose Earthquakes 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.

St. Louis City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 17 July 2026, finished St. Louis City 3–2 Sporting Kansas City.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.2 for Sporting Kansas City and 2.0 for St. Louis City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.

Betting angles

• Win chances: Sporting Kansas City 23%, draw 20%, St. Louis City 57%.
• Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Sporting Kansas City 1–1 St. Louis City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.