Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire preview and prediction
The match
Orlando City SC host Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer on Thursday 20 August, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Exploria Stadium. Orlando City SC are 8th with 46 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Chicago Fire sit 4th on 55 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Orlando City SC's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with FC Cincinnati 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Chicago Fire's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Portland Timbers 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Chicago Fire arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.7 for Orlando City SC and 1.9 for Chicago Fire. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 70%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orlando City SC 36%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.35.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Orlando City SC 1–1 Chicago Fire. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orlando City SC36%fair 2.78 · @2.66
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.10
Chicago Fire44%fair 2.30 · @2.22
3.62Expected goals
1.71Orlando City SC xG
1.90Chicago Fire xG
70%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%
From our goals model: Orlando City SC 1.7 – 1.9 Chicago Fire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chicago Fire to win✓
44%
2.30
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.83
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chicago Fire / FT Chicago Fire✓
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
11.99
–
Form
Orlando City SC – last 6
DDLWLW
16 Aug
vs FC Cincinnati
1–1
D
13 Aug
vs Atletico San Luis
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Leon
1–2
L
6 Aug
@ Monterrey
2–1
W
2 Aug
@ New York Red Bulls
2–3
L
26 Jul
vs Nashville SC
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chicago Fire – last 6
WWWWWL
16 Aug
vs Portland Timbers
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Cruz Azul
2–1
W
10 Aug
vs Santos Laguna
3–1
W
7 Aug
vs Necaxa
2–0
W
2 Aug
vs Charlotte
2–1
W
26 Jul
@ New York City FC
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orlando City SC and Chicago Fire.
What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire?
On our numbers Orlando City SC have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chicago Fire 44%.
How many goals will there be in Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire?
Our predicted score is Orlando City SC 1–1 Chicago Fire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire?
Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Exploria Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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