Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Charlotte to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Toronto FC vs Charlotte preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Toronto FC take on Charlotte on Thursday 20 August, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at BMO Field. Toronto FC are 12th with 39 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Charlotte sit 5th on 54 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Toronto FC's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat New England Revolution 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Charlotte's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Columbus Crew 3–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Charlotte arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Charlotte 3–1 Toronto FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Toronto FC and 1.5 for Charlotte. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toronto FC 38%, draw 22%, Charlotte 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Charlotte to win at 2.90 – 40% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Toronto FC 1–1 Charlotte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toronto FC38%fair 2.64 · @2.22
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.65
Charlotte40%fair 2.51 · @2.90
3.05Expected goals
1.51Toronto FC xG
1.55Charlotte xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Toronto FC 1.5 – 1.5 Charlotte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Toronto FC vs Charlotte?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Toronto FC vs Charlotte?
On our numbers Toronto FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Charlotte 40%.
How many goals will there be in Toronto FC vs Charlotte?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs Charlotte?
Our predicted score is Toronto FC 1–1 Charlotte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Toronto FC vs Charlotte?
Toronto FC vs Charlotte (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sporting Kansas City1
St. Louis City1
Minnesota United FC1