FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
FC Cincinnati to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Cincinnati to win ✓63% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.75
FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC preview and prediction
The match
FC Cincinnati host New York City FC in the Major League Soccer on Thursday 20 August, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati are 9th with 46 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while New York City FC sit 11th on 42 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
FC Cincinnati's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Orlando City SC 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
New York City FC's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Philadelphia Union 2–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
FC Cincinnati arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished New York City FC 4–4 FC Cincinnati.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.4 for FC Cincinnati and 1.3 for New York City FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Cincinnati 63%, draw 15%, New York City FC 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Cincinnati to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Cincinnati 2–1 New York City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Cincinnati63%fair 1.60 · @1.90
Draw15%fair 6.60 · @3.95
New York City FC22%fair 4.51 · @3.40
3.66Expected goals
2.35FC Cincinnati xG
1.31New York City FC xG
69%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: FC Cincinnati 2.4 – 1.3 New York City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
Our pick is FC Cincinnati to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
On our numbers FC Cincinnati have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 15% and New York City FC 22%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
Our predicted score is FC Cincinnati 2–1 New York City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at TQL Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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