Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHouston Dynamo to win ✓46% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.99
Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo preview and prediction
The match
Sporting Kansas City host Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Children's Mercy Park. Sporting Kansas City are 15th with 26 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while Houston Dynamo sit 5th on 51 points (in the top half). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sporting Kansas City's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Los Angeles FC 0–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Houston Dynamo's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Austin 3–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Houston Dynamo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.4 for Sporting Kansas City and 1.7 for Houston Dynamo. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting Kansas City 33%, draw 21%, Houston Dynamo 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sporting Kansas City 1–1 Houston Dynamo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Kansas City33%fair 3.02 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.55
Houston Dynamo46%fair 2.16 · @2.14
3.16Expected goals
1.43Sporting Kansas City xG
1.73Houston Dynamo xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–26%
0–26%
From our goals model: Sporting Kansas City 1.4 – 1.7 Houston Dynamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Houston Dynamo to win✓
46%
2.16
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Houston Dynamo / FT Houston Dynamo✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.99
–
Form
Sporting Kansas City – last 6
LWLLWW
26 Jul
@ Los Angeles FC
0–4
L
23 Jul
vs Minnesota United FC
2–1
W
17 Jul
@ St. Louis City
2–3
L
24 May
vs New York Red Bulls
1–2
L
17 May
@ Austin
2–1
W
14 May
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Houston Dynamo – last 6
WDWWDW
26 Jul
vs Austin
3–0
W
23 Jul
vs DC United
1–1
D
16 Jul
vs America de Cali
2–1
W
12 Jul
vs CD Olimpia
3–0
W
24 May
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
1–1
D
17 May
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Kansas City and Houston Dynamo.
What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?
On our numbers Sporting Kansas City have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Houston Dynamo 46%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?
Our predicted score is Sporting Kansas City 1–1 Houston Dynamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?
Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Children's Mercy Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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