New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC preview and prediction
The match
New York Red Bulls host Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Sports Illustrated Stadium. New York Red Bulls are 10th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Orlando City SC sit 8th on 46 points (in the top half).
Form guide
New York Red Bulls's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Charlotte 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Orlando City SC's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Nashville SC 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Orlando City SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Orlando City SC 1–2 New York Red Bulls.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.1 for New York Red Bulls and 1.8 for Orlando City SC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 72% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: New York Red Bulls 47%, draw 19%, Orlando City SC 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (72%) at 1.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: New York Red Bulls 2–1 Orlando City SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New York Red Bulls47%fair 2.15 · @2.12
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @4.10
Orlando City SC35%fair 2.86 · @2.82
3.85Expected goals
2.07New York Red Bulls xG
1.78Orlando City SC xG
72%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 2.1 – 1.8 Orlando City SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC?
On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Orlando City SC 35%.
How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC?
Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 2–1 Orlando City SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC?
New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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