Value bet: FC Cincinnati to win @ 1.94 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Cincinnati to win ✓60% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42
FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees FC Cincinnati take on San Jose Earthquakes on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati are 9th with 46 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while San Jose Earthquakes sit 4th on 52 points (in the top four).
Form guide
FC Cincinnati's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Columbus Crew 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
San Jose Earthquakes's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
FC Cincinnati arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.5 for FC Cincinnati and 1.4 for San Jose Earthquakes. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 71%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Cincinnati 60%, draw 20%, San Jose Earthquakes 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.28.
Value angle: FC Cincinnati to win at 1.94 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: FC Cincinnati 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Cincinnati60%fair 1.65 · @1.94
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.95
San Jose Earthquakes20%fair 4.99 · @3.30
3.94Expected goals
2.51FC Cincinnati xG
1.43San Jose Earthquakes xG
71%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: FC Cincinnati 2.5 – 1.4 San Jose Earthquakes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Cincinnati to win✓
60%
1.65
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Half-time result
FC Cincinnati ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Cincinnati / FT FC Cincinnati✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.42
–
Form
FC Cincinnati – last 6
LWWWDL
26 Jul
@ Columbus Crew
1–2
L
23 Jul
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
4–3
W
11 Jul
vs Burnley
3–1
W
24 May
vs Orlando City SC
6–2
W
17 May
@ San Diego
3–3
D
14 May
vs Inter Miami
3–5
L
3.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
San Jose Earthquakes – last 6
DLLWLL
26 Jul
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
1–1
D
23 Jul
vs Orlando City SC
0–4
L
4 Jul
vs Club Tijuana
1–2
L
24 May
@ Portland Timbers
3–1
W
21 May
@ Colorado Rapids
0–2
L
17 May
vs FC Dallas
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Cincinnati and San Jose Earthquakes.
What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?
On our numbers FC Cincinnati have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and San Jose Earthquakes 20%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our predicted score is FC Cincinnati 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?
FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at TQL Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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