Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Philadelphia Union or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.04
Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Philadelphia Union take on Atlanta United FC on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union are 6th with 50 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Atlanta United FC sit 13th on 33 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Philadelphia Union's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Seattle Sounders 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Atlanta United FC's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to New England Revolution 1–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 6. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Philadelphia Union arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Philadelphia Union and 1.0 for Atlanta United FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Philadelphia Union 60%, draw 22%, Atlanta United FC 18%.
Safer route: Philadelphia Union or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Philadelphia Union or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Philadelphia Union 2–1 Atlanta United FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Philadelphia Union60%fair 1.67 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @4.10
Atlanta United FC18%fair 5.58 · @4.45
3.02Expected goals
2.01Philadelphia Union xG
1.02Atlanta United FC xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 2.0 – 1.0 Atlanta United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Double chance
Philadelphia Union or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.55
Half-time result
Philadelphia Union ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.04
–
Form
Philadelphia Union – last 6
WWLDLL
26 Jul
vs Seattle Sounders
1–0
W
23 Jul
vs New York Red Bulls
3–1
W
25 May
@ Inter Miami
4–6
L
17 May
vs Columbus Crew
1–1
D
14 May
@ Orlando City SC
3–4
L
10 May
@ New England Revolution
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atlanta United FC – last 6
LDLLLD
26 Jul
@ New England Revolution
1–4
L
23 Jul
@ Charlotte
2–2
D
18 Jul
@ Nashville SC
0–1
L
24 May
@ Columbus Crew
0–2
L
20 May
@ Orlando City SC
1–4
L
17 May
@ Orlando City SC
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United FC.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC?
Our pick is Philadelphia Union or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC?
On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atlanta United FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC?
Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 2–1 Atlanta United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC?
Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Subaru Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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