Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.35Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLos Angeles FC to win ✓68% · @1.28
Double chanceLos Angeles FC or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City preview and prediction
The match
Los Angeles FC host Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 26 July, with kick-off at 03:30 (WAT) at BMO Stadium. Los Angeles FC are 6th with 47 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Sporting Kansas City sit 15th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Los Angeles FC's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Real Salt Lake 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sporting Kansas City's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Minnesota United FC 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Los Angeles FC and 1.0 for Sporting Kansas City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Los Angeles FC 68%, draw 18%, Sporting Kansas City 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Los Angeles FC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Los Angeles FC68%fair 1.48 · @1.28
Draw18%fair 5.70 · @6.20
Sporting Kansas City15%fair 6.69 · @8.10
3.40Expected goals
2.38Los Angeles FC xG
1.03Sporting Kansas City xG
61%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Los Angeles FC 2.4 – 1.0 Sporting Kansas City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Los Angeles FC to win✓
68%
1.48
1.28
Double chance
Los Angeles FC or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.90
Half-time result
Los Angeles FC ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Los Angeles FC / FT Los Angeles FC✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Form
Los Angeles FC – last 6
WWWLLL
23 Jul
vs Real Salt Lake
3–1
W
18 Jul
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
3–0
W
25 May
vs Seattle Sounders
1–0
W
18 May
@ Nashville SC
2–3
L
14 May
@ St. Louis City
1–2
L
11 May
vs Houston Dynamo
1–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sporting Kansas City – last 6
WLLWWL
23 Jul
vs Minnesota United FC
2–1
W
17 Jul
@ St. Louis City
2–3
L
24 May
vs New York Red Bulls
1–2
L
17 May
@ Austin
2–1
W
14 May
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
3–1
W
10 May
@ Portland Timbers
0–6
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Los Angeles FC and Sporting Kansas City.
What is the prediction for Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
On our numbers Los Angeles FC have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sporting Kansas City 15%.
How many goals will there be in Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our predicted score is Los Angeles FC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at BMO Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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