Value bet: Toronto FC to win @ 3.45 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDC United to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.87
DC United vs Toronto FC preview and prediction
The match
Toronto FC travel to Audi Field in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 26 July (00:30 WAT) to face DC United. DC United are 14th with 33 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while Toronto FC sit 12th on 39 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
DC United's last 5: DDDLD Most recently they drew with Houston Dynamo 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Toronto FC's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with New England Revolution 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
DC United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for DC United and 1.3 for Toronto FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: DC United 47%, draw 21%, Toronto FC 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Toronto FC to win at 3.45 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: DC United 1–1 Toronto FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
DC United47%fair 2.13 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.55
Toronto FC33%fair 3.07 · @3.45
2.91Expected goals
1.62DC United xG
1.30Toronto FC xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: DC United 1.6 – 1.3 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
DC United to win✓
47%
2.13
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT DC United / FT DC United✓
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.87
–
Form
DC United – last 6
DDDLDW
23 Jul
@ Houston Dynamo
1–1
D
24 May
vs CF Montreal
4–4
D
17 May
vs St. Louis City
1–1
D
14 May
vs Chicago Fire
1–3
L
10 May
@ Nashville SC
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Toronto FC – last 6
DDLLLD
23 Jul
@ New England Revolution
0–0
D
17 Jul
@ CF Montreal
0–0
D
24 May
@ Chicago Fire
1–2
L
17 May
@ Charlotte
1–3
L
6 May
vs Atlético Ottawa
1–3
L
23 Apr
vs Philadelphia Union
3–3
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between DC United and Toronto FC.
What is the prediction for DC United vs Toronto FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win DC United vs Toronto FC?
On our numbers DC United have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Toronto FC 33%.
How many goals will there be in DC United vs Toronto FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for DC United vs Toronto FC?
Our predicted score is DC United 1–1 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is DC United vs Toronto FC?
DC United vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Audi Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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