Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Seattle Sounders to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✓47% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93
Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders preview and prediction
The match
Philadelphia Union host Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 26 July, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union are 6th with 50 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Seattle Sounders sit 8th on 46 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Philadelphia Union's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat New York Red Bulls 3–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Seattle Sounders's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Austin 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Philadelphia Union and 1.3 for Seattle Sounders. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Philadelphia Union 47%, draw 19%, Seattle Sounders 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Seattle Sounders to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Philadelphia Union 1–1 Seattle Sounders. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Philadelphia Union47%fair 2.14 · @2.02
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.75
Seattle Sounders34%fair 2.96 · @3.30
2.94Expected goals
1.62Philadelphia Union xG
1.32Seattle Sounders xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 1.6 – 1.3 Seattle Sounders expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✓
47%
2.14
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✓
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.93
–
Form
Philadelphia Union – last 6
WLDLLD
23 Jul
vs New York Red Bulls
3–1
W
25 May
@ Inter Miami
4–6
L
17 May
vs Columbus Crew
1–1
D
14 May
@ Orlando City SC
3–4
L
10 May
@ New England Revolution
1–2
L
3 May
vs Nashville SC
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Seattle Sounders – last 6
LLLLWD
23 Jul
@ Austin
1–3
L
17 Jul
vs Portland Timbers
1–5
L
25 May
@ Los Angeles FC
0–1
L
17 May
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
0–2
L
14 May
vs San Jose Earthquakes
3–2
W
10 May
vs San Diego
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Philadelphia Union and Seattle Sounders.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders?
On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Seattle Sounders 34%.
How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders?
Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 1–1 Seattle Sounders, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders?
Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Subaru Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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