Austin host Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer on Thursday 23 July, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Q2 Stadium. Austin are 14th with 34 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while Seattle Sounders sit 8th on 46 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Austin's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Sporting JAX 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Seattle Sounders's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Portland Timbers 1–5 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Austin and 1.5 for Seattle Sounders. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 64%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Austin 1–1 Seattle Sounders. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Austin34%fair 2.96 · @2.82
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.60
Seattle Sounders41%fair 2.46 · @2.28
2.82Expected goals
1.36Austin xG
1.46Seattle Sounders xG
64%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Austin 1.4 – 1.5 Seattle Sounders expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Seattle Sounders to win✗
41%
2.46
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Seattle Sounders / FT Seattle Sounders✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.50
–
Form
Austin – last 6
WLLLDW
8 Jul
vs Sporting JAX
4–0
W
3 Jul
vs Club Queretaro
0–1
L
17 May
vs Sporting Kansas City
1–2
L
14 May
@ San Diego
0–5
L
11 May
@ Minnesota United FC
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Houston Dynamo
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Seattle Sounders – last 6
LLLWDW
17 Jul
vs Portland Timbers
1–5
L
25 May
@ Los Angeles FC
0–1
L
17 May
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
0–2
L
14 May
vs San Jose Earthquakes
3–2
W
10 May
vs San Diego
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs FC Dallas
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Austin and Seattle Sounders.
What is the prediction for Austin vs Seattle Sounders?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Austin vs Seattle Sounders?
On our numbers Austin have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Seattle Sounders 41%.
How many goals will there be in Austin vs Seattle Sounders?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Austin vs Seattle Sounders?
Our predicted score is Austin 1–1 Seattle Sounders, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Austin vs Seattle Sounders?
Austin vs Seattle Sounders (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Q2 Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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