Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Philadelphia Union or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✓60% · @1.73
Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Philadelphia Union take on New York Red Bulls on Thursday 23 July, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union are 6th with 50 points from 34 games (in the top half), while New York Red Bulls sit 10th on 42 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Philadelphia Union's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Inter Miami 4–6 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.
New York Red Bulls's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Sporting Kansas City 2–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
New York Red Bulls arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for Philadelphia Union and 1.1 for New York Red Bulls. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Philadelphia Union 60%, draw 21%, New York Red Bulls 19%.
Safer route: Philadelphia Union or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Philadelphia Union or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York Red Bulls. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Philadelphia Union60%fair 1.67 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @4.10
New York Red Bulls19%fair 5.15 · @4.00
3.37Expected goals
2.23Philadelphia Union xG
1.14New York Red Bulls xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 2.2 – 1.1 New York Red Bulls expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✓
60%
1.67
1.73
Double chance
Philadelphia Union or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Half-time result
Philadelphia Union ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Form
Philadelphia Union – last 6
LDLLDL
25 May
@ Inter Miami
4–6
L
17 May
vs Columbus Crew
1–1
D
14 May
@ Orlando City SC
3–4
L
10 May
@ New England Revolution
1–2
L
3 May
vs Nashville SC
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Columbus Crew
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
New York Red Bulls – last 6
WDWLLL
24 May
@ Sporting Kansas City
2–1
W
17 May
vs New York City FC
1–1
D
14 May
vs Columbus Crew
3–2
W
3 May
vs FC Dallas
0–2
L
30 Apr
vs New York City FC
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ FC Cincinnati
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls?
Our pick is Philadelphia Union or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls?
On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and New York Red Bulls 19%.
How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls?
Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York Red Bulls, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls?
Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Subaru Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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