Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Charlotte to win @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte to win ✗54% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Charlotte take on Atlanta United FC on Thursday 23 July, kicking off at 01:15 (WAT) at Bank of America Stadium. Charlotte are 5th with 54 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Atlanta United FC sit 13th on 33 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Charlotte's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat New England Revolution 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Atlanta United FC's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Nashville SC 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Charlotte arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished Charlotte 0–2 Atlanta United FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Charlotte and 1.1 for Atlanta United FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlotte 54%, draw 21%, Atlanta United FC 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Charlotte to win at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Charlotte 1–1 Atlanta United FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlotte54%fair 1.86 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.65
Atlanta United FC25%fair 3.96 · @3.35
3.07Expected goals
1.98Charlotte xG
1.09Atlanta United FC xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Charlotte 2.0 – 1.1 Atlanta United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
On our numbers Charlotte have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atlanta United FC 25%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
Our predicted score is Charlotte 1–1 Atlanta United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Bank of America Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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