New England Revolution vs Toronto FC prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
New England Revolution or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNew England Revolution to win ✗59% · @1.73
Double chanceNew England Revolution or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
New England Revolution vs Toronto FC preview and prediction
The match
New England Revolution host Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer on Thursday 23 July, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Gillette Stadium. New England Revolution are 3rd with 58 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Toronto FC sit 12th on 39 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
New England Revolution's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Charlotte 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Toronto FC's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with CF Montreal 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
New England Revolution arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for New England Revolution and 1.1 for Toronto FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: New England Revolution 59%, draw 24%, Toronto FC 18%.
Safer route: New England Revolution or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was New England Revolution or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: New England Revolution 1–1 Toronto FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New England Revolution59%fair 1.70 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.75
Toronto FC18%fair 5.65 · @4.50
3.14Expected goals
2.00New England Revolution xG
1.15Toronto FC xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: New England Revolution 2.0 – 1.1 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New England Revolution to win✗
59%
1.70
1.73
Double chance
New England Revolution or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.42
Half-time result
New England Revolution ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New England Revolution / FT New England Revolution✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Form
New England Revolution – last 6
LWLWWL
24 May
@ Charlotte
0–1
L
17 May
vs Minnesota United FC
2–1
W
14 May
vs Nashville SC
0–3
L
10 May
vs Philadelphia Union
2–1
W
3 May
vs Charlotte
1–0
W
30 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
3–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Toronto FC – last 6
DLLLDW
17 Jul
@ CF Montreal
0–0
D
24 May
@ Chicago Fire
1–2
L
17 May
@ Charlotte
1–3
L
6 May
vs Atlético Ottawa
1–3
L
23 Apr
vs Philadelphia Union
3–3
D
9 Mar
@ FC Cincinnati
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New England Revolution and Toronto FC.
What is the prediction for New England Revolution vs Toronto FC?
Our pick is New England Revolution or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win New England Revolution vs Toronto FC?
On our numbers New England Revolution have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Toronto FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in New England Revolution vs Toronto FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs Toronto FC?
Our predicted score is New England Revolution 1–1 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is New England Revolution vs Toronto FC?
New England Revolution vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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