Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls preview and prediction
The match
New York Red Bulls travel to face Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 24 May (01:30 WAT). Sporting Kansas City are 15th with 26 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while New York Red Bulls sit 10th on 42 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sporting Kansas City's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Austin 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
New York Red Bulls's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with New York City FC 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.7 for Sporting Kansas City and 2.0 for New York Red Bulls. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting Kansas City 35%, draw 19%, New York Red Bulls 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.35.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Sporting Kansas City 1–2 New York Red Bulls. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Kansas City35%fair 2.89 · @2.90
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @3.95
New York Red Bulls47%fair 2.15 · @2.12
3.64Expected goals
1.67Sporting Kansas City xG
1.97New York Red Bulls xG
67%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
1–36%
0–15%
From our goals model: Sporting Kansas City 1.7 – 2.0 New York Red Bulls expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New York Red Bulls to win✓
47%
2.15
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.48
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.83
Half-time result
New York Red Bulls ahead at half-time✓
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New York Red Bulls / FT New York Red Bulls✓
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.75
–
Form
Sporting Kansas City – last 6
WWLLLL
17 May
@ Austin
2–1
W
14 May
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
3–1
W
10 May
@ Portland Timbers
0–6
L
26 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
0–5
L
18 Apr
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
15 Apr
@ Colorado Springs
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
New York Red Bulls – last 6
DWLLLD
17 May
vs New York City FC
1–1
D
14 May
vs Columbus Crew
3–2
W
3 May
vs FC Dallas
0–2
L
30 Apr
vs New York City FC
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ FC Cincinnati
0–2
L
23 Apr
vs DC United
4–4
D
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Kansas City and New York Red Bulls.
What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls?
On our numbers Sporting Kansas City have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and New York Red Bulls 47%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls?
Our predicted score is Sporting Kansas City 1–2 New York Red Bulls, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls?
Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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