Nashville SC vs New York City FC preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Nashville SC take on New York City FC on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Geodis Park. Nashville SC are 1st with 77 points from 34 games (top of the table), while New York City FC sit 11th on 42 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 35 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nashville SC's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Los Angeles FC 3–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
New York City FC's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Columbus Crew 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Nashville SC and 1.0 for New York City FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nashville SC 59%, draw 24%, New York City FC 17%.
Safer route: Nashville SC or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Nashville SC 2–0 New York City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nashville SC59%fair 1.69 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.75
New York City FC17%fair 6.03 · @4.50
2.91Expected goals
1.95Nashville SC xG
0.96New York City FC xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Nashville SC 2.0 – 1.0 New York City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nashville SC to win✓
59%
1.69
1.73
Double chance
Nashville SC or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.38
Half-time result
Nashville SC ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.42
–
Form
Nashville SC – last 6
WWDLDL
18 May
vs Los Angeles FC
3–2
W
14 May
@ New England Revolution
3–0
W
10 May
vs DC United
2–2
D
6 May
@ Tigres UANL
0–1
L
3 May
@ Philadelphia Union
0–0
D
29 Apr
vs Tigres UANL
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
New York City FC – last 6
LDWWDL
21 May
@ Columbus Crew
0–1
L
17 May
@ New York Red Bulls
1–1
D
14 May
@ Charlotte
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ New York Red Bulls
3–1
W
23 Apr
vs FC Cincinnati
4–4
D
19 Apr
vs Charlotte
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nashville SC and New York City FC.
What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs New York City FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nashville SC vs New York City FC?
On our numbers Nashville SC have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and New York City FC 17%.
How many goals will there be in Nashville SC vs New York City FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs New York City FC?
Our predicted score is Nashville SC 2–0 New York City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Nashville SC vs New York City FC?
Nashville SC vs New York City FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Geodis Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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