FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC preview and prediction
The match
FC Cincinnati host Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati are 9th with 46 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Orlando City SC sit 8th on 46 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC Cincinnati's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with San Diego 3–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Orlando City SC's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Atlanta United FC 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.
Orlando City SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.6 for FC Cincinnati and 1.5 for Orlando City SC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 75% and both teams to score at 71%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Cincinnati 63%, draw 15%, Orlando City SC 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: FC Cincinnati 2–1 Orlando City SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Cincinnati63%fair 1.58 · @1.58
Draw15%fair 6.63 · @4.65
Orlando City SC21%fair 4.66 · @4.55
4.09Expected goals
2.62FC Cincinnati xG
1.47Orlando City SC xG
71%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
1–16%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: FC Cincinnati 2.6 – 1.5 Orlando City SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Cincinnati to win✓
63%
1.58
1.58
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.80
Half-time result
FC Cincinnati ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Cincinnati / FT FC Cincinnati✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.85
–
Form
FC Cincinnati – last 6
DLDWWD
17 May
@ San Diego
3–3
D
14 May
vs Inter Miami
3–5
L
10 May
@ Charlotte
2–2
D
3 May
@ Chicago Fire
3–2
W
26 Apr
vs New York Red Bulls
2–0
W
23 Apr
@ New York City FC
4–4
D
2.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Orlando City SC – last 6
WDWWWL
20 May
vs Atlanta United FC
4–1
W
17 May
vs Atlanta United FC
1–1
D
14 May
vs Philadelphia Union
4–3
W
3 May
@ Inter Miami
4–3
W
30 Apr
@ New England Revolution
4–3
W
26 Apr
@ DC United
2–3
L
3.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Cincinnati and Orlando City SC.
What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC?
On our numbers FC Cincinnati have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Orlando City SC 21%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC?
Our predicted score is FC Cincinnati 2–1 Orlando City SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC?
FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at TQL Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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