Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChicago Fire to win ✓63% · @1.47
Double chanceChicago Fire or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.20
Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Chicago Fire take on Toronto FC on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Soldier Field. Chicago Fire are 4th with 55 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Toronto FC sit 12th on 39 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chicago Fire's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat DC United 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Toronto FC's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Charlotte 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Chicago Fire arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Chicago Fire and 1.1 for Toronto FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chicago Fire 63%, draw 20%, Toronto FC 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chicago Fire 2–1 Toronto FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chicago Fire63%fair 1.58 · @1.47
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @4.75
Toronto FC17%fair 5.92 · @5.60
3.31Expected goals
2.23Chicago Fire xG
1.08Toronto FC xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Chicago Fire 2.2 – 1.1 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chicago Fire to win✓
63%
1.58
1.47
Double chance
Chicago Fire or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Half-time result
Chicago Fire ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chicago Fire / FT Chicago Fire✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.20
–
Form
Chicago Fire – last 6
WLLWDW
14 May
@ DC United
3–1
W
3 May
vs FC Cincinnati
2–3
L
30 Apr
vs St. Louis City
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Sporting Kansas City
5–0
W
19 Apr
@ FC Cincinnati
3–3
D
15 Apr
@ Detroit City
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Toronto FC – last 6
LLDWLL
17 May
@ Charlotte
1–3
L
6 May
vs Atlético Ottawa
1–3
L
23 Apr
vs Philadelphia Union
3–3
D
9 Mar
@ FC Cincinnati
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ FC Dallas
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chicago Fire and Toronto FC.
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC?
On our numbers Chicago Fire have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Toronto FC 17%.
How many goals will there be in Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC?
Our predicted score is Chicago Fire 2–1 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC?
Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Soldier Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sporting Kansas City1
San Diego2
Vancouver Whitecaps4
Colorado Rapids1
FC Dallas2
Portland Timbers1
San Jose Earthquakes3
Los Angeles Galaxy1
Houston Dynamo1