Value bet: Los Angeles FC to win @ 2.40 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLos Angeles FC to win ✗46% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.98
St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees St. Louis City take on Los Angeles FC on Thursday 14 May, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Energizer Park. St. Louis City are 3rd with 54 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Los Angeles FC sit 6th on 47 points (in the top half).
Form guide
St. Louis City's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Colorado Rapids 1–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Los Angeles FC's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Houston Dynamo 1–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
St. Louis City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Los Angeles FC 2–0 St. Louis City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for St. Louis City and 1.5 for Los Angeles FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: St. Louis City 33%, draw 20%, Los Angeles FC 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Los Angeles FC to win at 2.40 – 46% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: St. Louis City 1–1 Los Angeles FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St. Louis City33%fair 3.00 · @2.64
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.65
Los Angeles FC46%fair 2.15 · @2.40
2.79Expected goals
1.25St. Louis City xG
1.54Los Angeles FC xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: St. Louis City 1.3 – 1.5 Los Angeles FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
On our numbers St. Louis City have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Los Angeles FC 46%.
How many goals will there be in St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
Our predicted score is St. Louis City 1–1 Los Angeles FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Energizer Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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