Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Orlando City SC to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✗41% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union preview and prediction
The match
Philadelphia Union travel to face Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer on Thursday 14 May (00:30 WAT). Orlando City SC are 8th with 46 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Philadelphia Union sit 6th on 50 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Orlando City SC's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Inter Miami 4–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Philadelphia Union's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to New England Revolution 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Orlando City SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Orlando City SC and 1.6 for Philadelphia Union. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orlando City SC 37%, draw 22%, Philadelphia Union 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Orlando City SC to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Orlando City SC 1–1 Philadelphia Union. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orlando City SC37%fair 2.70 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
Philadelphia Union41%fair 2.47 · @2.12
3.09Expected goals
1.51Orlando City SC xG
1.59Philadelphia Union xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Orlando City SC 1.5 – 1.6 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✗
41%
2.47
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.63
–
Form
Orlando City SC – last 6
WWLWLW
3 May
@ Inter Miami
4–3
W
30 Apr
@ New England Revolution
4–3
W
26 Apr
@ DC United
2–3
L
23 Apr
vs Charlotte
4–1
W
19 Apr
vs Houston Dynamo
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Naples
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union – last 6
LDLDDL
10 May
@ New England Revolution
1–2
L
3 May
vs Nashville SC
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Columbus Crew
0–2
L
23 Apr
@ Toronto FC
3–3
D
19 Apr
vs DC United
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Charlotte
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orlando City SC and Philadelphia Union.
What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers Orlando City SC have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Philadelphia Union 41%.
How many goals will there be in Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is Orlando City SC 1–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?
Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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