Charlotte vs New York City FC prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: New York City FC to win @ 2.92 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte to win ✗41% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Charlotte vs New York City FC preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Charlotte take on New York City FC on Thursday 14 May, kicking off at 00:15 (WAT) at Bank of America Stadium. Charlotte are 5th with 54 points from 34 games (in the top half), while New York City FC sit 11th on 42 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Charlotte's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with FC Cincinnati 2–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
New York City FC's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat New York Red Bulls 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
New York City FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished New York City FC 1–2 Charlotte.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Charlotte and 1.5 for New York City FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlotte 41%, draw 22%, New York City FC 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Value angle: New York City FC to win at 2.92 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Charlotte 1–1 New York City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlotte41%fair 2.44 · @2.22
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.60
New York City FC37%fair 2.73 · @2.92
3.14Expected goals
1.62Charlotte xG
1.52New York City FC xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Charlotte 1.6 – 1.5 New York City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Charlotte vs New York City FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Charlotte vs New York City FC?
On our numbers Charlotte have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and New York City FC 37%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte vs New York City FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs New York City FC?
Our predicted score is Charlotte 1–1 New York City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Charlotte vs New York City FC?
Charlotte vs New York City FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Bank of America Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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